NFL · Sunday, October 18, 2026
NFL Player Props Today: Week 6 Sunday Slate
There are 12 games on the Week 6 Sunday slate. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Over his last 10 games, Jordan Love has recorded 2+ touchdown passes 8 times. He's at home to the Dallas Cowboys tonight, priced at -180 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Dallas Cowboys allow 2.0 passing tds per game to QB — 7th most in the league, 30% above the 1.5 average.
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 5 was 2.0, still above 1.5.
- Implied for a big day. The market has GB at 27.5 points in a 53.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
Xavier Hutchinson Over 14.5 Receiving Yards
Over his last 10 games, Xavier Hutchinson has topped 14.5 receiving yards 9 times. He's on the road at the Jacksonville Jaguars today, priced at -115 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Jacksonville Jaguars allow 203.8 receiving yards per game to WR — 1st most in the league, 36% above the 150.3 average.
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 5 was 32.0, still above 14.5.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 90% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 40% edge at -115.
The case against: slow opponent. Jacksonville Jaguars run only 58.6 plays per game, which shortens the game for both sides.
Puka Nacua Anytime TD
Puka Nacua has scored a touchdown in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Arizona Cardinals today, with the price at -150.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Arizona Cardinals allow 2.0 anytime td per game to WR — 1st most in the league, 117% above the 0.9 average.
- Implied for a big day. The market has LAR at 32.0 points in a 51.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- He's the focal point. A 34% target share (15.0 per game) — the volume is not in doubt.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 1, 1, 0, 1, 0 (most recent first).
Ryan Flournoy Over 2.5 Receptions
Ryan Flournoy has recorded 3+ catches in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Green Bay Packers tonight, with the over at -163.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Green Bay Packers allow 12.4 receptions per game to WR — 10th most in the league, 8% above the 11.5 average.
- Implied for a big day. The market has DAL at 26.0 points in a 53.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- Season pace clears the line. At 3.2 per game, he clears 2.5 about 62% of the time.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 2.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 3, 4, 2, 5, 2 (most recent first).
Davis Allen Over 0.5 Receptions
Davis Allen has gone over 0.5 receptions in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Arizona Cardinals today, priced at -200 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Arizona Cardinals allow 6.0 receptions per game to TE — 9th most in the league, 11% above the 5.4 average.
- Implied for a big day. The market has LAR at 32.0 points in a 51.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 70% against a no-vig market price of 63% — a 7% edge at -200.
The case against: peripheral role. Only a 4% target share (1.8 per game) — he needs efficiency, not volume.