NFL · Sunday, October 25, 2026
NFL Player Props Today: Week 7 Sunday Slate
There are 12 games on the Week 7 Sunday slate. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Over his last 10 games, Jordan Love has recorded 2+ touchdown passes 7 times. He's on the road at the Detroit Lions today, priced at -195 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Detroit Lions allow 2.8 passing tds per game to QB — 1st most in the league, 82% above the 1.5 average.
- Implied for a big day. The market has GB at 26.0 points in a 55.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 71% against a no-vig market price of 62% — a 9% edge at -195.
The case against: line sits on his average. At 1.8 per game, he clears 1.5 about 55% of the time. Close to a coin flip on volume alone.
Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Matthew Stafford has gone over 1.5 passing tds in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Las Vegas Raiders today, priced at -150 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Las Vegas Raiders allow 2.2 passing tds per game to QB — 6th most in the league, 41% above the 1.5 average.
- Implied for a big day. The market has LAR at 26.0 points in a 48.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 72% against a no-vig market price of 56% — a 16% edge at -150.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (80% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
MarShawn Lloyd Over 9.5 Rushing Yards
MarShawn Lloyd has gone over 9.5 rushing yards in 7 of his last 7 games. He's on the road at the Detroit Lions today, with the over at -115.
Why it can hit
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 6 was 10.0, still above 9.5.
- Implied for a big day. The market has GB at 26.0 points in a 55.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 94% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 44% edge at -115.
The case against: this defense has tightened up. 69.0 per game allowed over their last three, down from 84.4 on the season.
Trey McBride Over 6.5 Receptions
Trey McBride has gone over 6.5 receptions in 9 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Denver Broncos today, priced at -140 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 6 was 7.0, still above 6.5.
- He's the focal point. A 30% target share (10.8 per game) — the volume is not in doubt.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 91% against a no-vig market price of 54% — a 37% edge at -140.
The case against: this defense has tightened up. 3.7 per game allowed over their last three, down from 5.0 on the season.
Malachi Fields Over 1.5 Receptions
Over his last 6 games, Malachi Fields has recorded 2+ catches 6 times. He's on the road at the Houston Texans today, with the over at -130.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Houston Texans allow 14.3 receptions per game to WR — 3rd most in the league, 24% above the 11.6 average.
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 6 was 2.0, still above 1.5.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 88% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 35% edge at -130.
The case against: implied for a quiet day. The market has NYG at just 16.0 points in a 42.5-point game.