NFL · Monday, October 26, 2026
NFL Player Props Today: Week 7 Monday Night Football (DAL @ PHI)
Week 7 closes with DAL @ PHI on Monday Night Football. These are the 5 player props our data likes most tonight: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Dak Prescott Over 36.5 Pass Attempts
Over his last 10 games, Dak Prescott has recorded 37+ pass attempts 6 times. He's on the road at the Philadelphia Eagles tonight, priced at -114 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Philadelphia Eagles allow 36.2 pass attempts per game to QB — 6th most in the league, 8% above the 33.4 average.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 60% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 10% edge at -114.
- Season pace clears the line. Prescott averages 41.0 pass attempts per game against a 36.5 line.
The case against: slow opponent. Philadelphia Eagles run only 58.3 plays per game, which shortens the game for both sides.
George Pickens Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
George Pickens has gone over 64.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Philadelphia Eagles tonight, with the over at -110.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Philadelphia Eagles allow 182.7 receiving yards per game to WR — 4th most in the league, 23% above the 149.0 average.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 64% against a no-vig market price of 49% — a 15% edge at -110.
- Teammates are out. KaVontae Turpin (WR) is out — more targets to go around.
The case against: slow opponent. Philadelphia Eagles run only 58.3 plays per game, which shortens the game for both sides.
Ryan Flournoy Over 3.5 Receptions
Over his last 10 games, Ryan Flournoy has recorded 4+ catches 6 times. He's on the road at the Philadelphia Eagles tonight, priced at +110 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Philadelphia Eagles allow 13.2 receptions per game to WR — 8th most in the league, 15% above the 11.4 average.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 52% against a no-vig market price of 45% — a 7% edge at +110.
- Teammates are out. KaVontae Turpin (WR) is out — more targets to go around.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 3.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 7, 3, 4, 2, 5 (most recent first).
Hollywood Brown Over 11.5 Receiving Yards
Hollywood Brown has gone over 11.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Dallas Cowboys tonight, with the over at -115.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Dallas Cowboys allow 168.7 receiving yards per game to WR — 9th most in the league, 13% above the 149.0 average.
- This defense is slipping. 208.0 per game allowed over their last three, up on their 168.7 season number.
- Teammates are out. Eli Stowers (TE), Grant Calcaterra (TE), and DeVonta Smith (WR) are out — more targets to go around.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 11.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 0, 64, 7, 22, 35 (most recent first).
Javonte Williams Anytime TD
Javonte Williams has found the end zone in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Philadelphia Eagles tonight, priced at -150 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.3 per game, he clears 0.5 about 74% of the time.
- Rising usage. 1.7 per game over his last three against a 1.3 season average.
- The defense is short-handed. Michael Carter II (CB) and Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) are out for Philadelphia Eagles.
The case against: priced against us. At -150 the market is asking for more than the model projects — 52% against a market price of 60%.