NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026
NFL Player Props Today: Week 8 Sunday Slate
There are 12 games on the Week 8 Sunday slate. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Khalil Shakir Over 3.5 Receptions
Khalil Shakir has recorded 4+ catches in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Baltimore Ravens today, with the over at -140.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Baltimore Ravens allow 13.1 receptions per game to WR — 8th most in the league, 15% above the 11.4 average.
- Implied for a big day. The market has BUF at 29.0 points in a 54.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 63% against a no-vig market price of 55% — a 8% edge at -140.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 3.5 in 2 of his last 5 — 4, 3, 7, 1, 3 (most recent first).
Trevor Lawrence Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Trevor Lawrence has gone over 1.5 passing tds in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Indianapolis Colts today, with the over at -182.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Indianapolis Colts allow 1.6 passing tds per game to QB — 9th most in the league, 2% above the 1.5 average.
- Implied for a big day. The market has JAX at 28.3 points in a 46.5-point game — that's a lot of scoring to go around.
- Season pace clears the line. At 2.3 per game, he clears 1.5 about 68% of the time.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 1.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 4, 2, 1, 3, 0 (most recent first).
Derrick Henry Anytime TD
Derrick Henry has found the end zone in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Buffalo Bills today, priced at -195 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Buffalo Bills allow 1.5 anytime td per game to RB — 3rd most in the league, 67% above the 0.9 average.
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.1 per game, he clears 0.5 about 68% of the time.
- Teammates are out. Adam Randall (RB) is out — more touches to go around.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 0, 0, 1, 1, 2 (most recent first).
J.K. Dobbins Over 8.5 Rush Attempts
Over his last 10 games, J.K. Dobbins has recorded 9+ carries 6 times. He's at home to the Kansas City Chiefs today, with the over at -130.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 67% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 14% edge at -130.
- Season pace clears the line. Dobbins averages 12.4 rush attempts per game against a 8.5 line.
- Teammates are out. RJ Harvey (RB) and Tyler Badie (RB) are out — more carries to go around.
The case against: slow opponent. Kansas City Chiefs run only 59.8 plays per game, which shortens the game for both sides.
Tre Tucker Over 3.5 Receptions
Tre Tucker has recorded 4+ catches in 8 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the New York Jets today, priced at -117 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 78% against a market price of 54% — a 24% edge at -117.
- Season pace clears the line. Tucker averages 4.1 receptions per game against a 3.5 line.
- Teammates are out. Carter Runyon (TE) is out — more targets to go around.
The case against: weak on the road. 35% in his last 20 on the road games.