NFL · Monday, November 2, 2026
NFL Player Props Today: Week 8 Monday Night Football (CHI @ SEA)
Week 8 closes with CHI @ SEA on Monday Night Football. These are the 4 player props our data likes most tonight: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gone over 99.5 receiving yards in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Chicago Bears tonight, with the over at -105.
Why it can hit
- He's the focal point. A 37% target share (11.1 per game) — the volume is not in doubt.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 72% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 22% edge at -112.
- Season pace clears the line. Smith-Njigba averages 123.9 receiving yards per game against a 99.5 line.
Sam Darnold Over 5.5 Rushing Yards
Sam Darnold has gone over 5.5 rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Chicago Bears tonight, with the over at -105.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 77% against a no-vig market price of 48% — a 29% edge at -105.
- Season pace clears the line. Darnold averages 8.7 rushing yards per game against a 4.5 line.
- Rising usage. 13.7 per game over his last three against a 8.7 season average.
The case against: committee backfield. Only 6% of the carries (1.8 per game) — the touches get split.
Cooper Kupp Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
Over his last 10 games, Cooper Kupp has topped 29.5 receiving yards 6 times. He's at home to the Chicago Bears tonight, priced at -105 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 54% against a no-vig market price of 47% — a 7% edge at +100.
- This defense is slipping. 177.0 per game allowed over their last three, up on their 149.4 season number.
- Teammates are out. Rashid Shaheed (WR) is out — more targets to go around.
The case against: peripheral role. Only a 12% target share (3.9 per game) — he needs efficiency, not volume.
Emanuel Wilson Over 19.5 Rushing Yards
Over his last 10 games, Emanuel Wilson has topped 19.5 rushing yards 6 times. He's at home to the Chicago Bears tonight, priced at -105 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 61% against a no-vig market price of 49% — a 12% edge at -108.
- Season pace clears the line. Wilson averages 57.6 rushing yards per game against a 22.5 line.
- Teammates are out. Jadarian Price (RB) and Velus Jones Jr. (RB) are out — more carries to go around.
The case against: tough matchup for the position. Chicago Bears allow only 73.6 per game to RB, 6th stingiest in the league.