NHL · Wednesday, October 7, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Wednesday, October 7
There are 3 games on the NHL board this Wednesday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 4 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Nathan MacKinnon has recorded 4+ shots on goal 6 times. He's on the road at the Winnipeg Jets tonight, with the over at -115.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Winnipeg Jets allow 23.7 shots on goal per game to forwards — 3rd most in the league, 19% above the 19.9 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has COL at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- He's the shooter. 19% of his team's shots (6.0 per game).
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 3.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 4, 8, 2, 5, 1 (most recent first).
Martin Necas Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
Martin Necas has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 6 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Winnipeg Jets tonight, priced at -118 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Winnipeg Jets allow 23.7 shots on goal per game to forwards — 3rd most in the league, 19% above the 19.9 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has COL at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 73% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 23% edge at -118.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 2.5 in 2 of his last 5 — 4, 4, 0, 2, 2 (most recent first).
Vasily Podkolzin Over 0.5 Points
Over his last 10 games, Vasily Podkolzin has recorded a point 8 times. He's on the road at the Anaheim Ducks tonight, priced at -160 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Implied for a big night. The market has EDM at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 83% against a no-vig market price of 58% — a 25% edge at -160.
- Season pace clears the line. Podkolzin averages 1.7 points per game against a 0.5 line.
The case against: shooting hot. A 23% shooting percentage is well above what sticks — expect it to cool.
Cutter Gauthier Over 0.5 Points
Cutter Gauthier has recorded a point in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Edmonton Oilers tonight, priced at -185 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Edmonton Oilers allow 9.7 points per game to forwards — 2nd most in the league, 52% above the 6.4 average.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 74% against a no-vig market price of 60% — a 14% edge at -185.
- Season pace clears the line. Gauthier averages 2.0 points per game against a 0.5 line.
The case against: implied for a quiet night. The market has ANA at just 2.50 goals in a 6.5-goal game.