NHL · Thursday, October 8, 2026

NHL Player Props Today: Thursday, October 8

Thursday's NHL slate has 10 games. These are the 5 player props our data likes most tonight: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.

Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.

MIN @ TBL · 7:00 PM ET · -140

Jonas Brodin Over 1.5 Blocked Shots

Over his last 10 games, Jonas Brodin has recorded 2+ blocked shots 9 times. He's on the road at the Tampa Bay Lightning tonight, priced at -140 to do it again.

1.5

Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 9 of 10 over 1.5

Why it can hit

Soft matchup for the position. Tampa Bay Lightning allow 11.3 blocked shots per game to defensemen — 4th most in the league, 33% above the 8.5 average.
Priced in our favour. The model makes this 80% against a no-vig market price of 54% — a 26% edge at -140.
Season pace clears the line. Brodin averages 3.3 blocked shots per game against a 1.5 line.

MIN @ TBL · 7:00 PM ET · -155

Matt Boldy Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

Over his last 10 games, Matt Boldy has recorded 3+ shots on goal 8 times. He's on the road at TBL tonight, priced at -155 to do it again.

2.5

Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 8 of 10 over 2.5

Why it can hit

He's the shooter. 20% of his team's shots (5.3 per game).
Priced in our favour. The model makes this 86% against a no-vig market price of 57% — a 29% edge at -155.
Season pace clears the line. Boldy averages 5.3 shots on goal per game against a 2.5 line.

DAL @ BUF · 7:00 PM ET · -155

Miro Heiskanen Over 1.5 Shots on Goal

Miro Heiskanen has recorded 2+ shots on goal in 8 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at BUF tonight, with the over at -155.

1.5

Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 8 of 10 over 1.5

Why it can hit

Priced in our favour. The model makes this 72% against a no-vig market price of 57% — a 15% edge at -155.
Season pace clears the line. Heiskanen averages 2.7 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
Big minutes. 24:00 of ice time per game — the volume is there.

CHI @ NYI · 7:30 PM ET · -160

Bo Horvat Over 0.5 Points

Bo Horvat has gone over 0.5 points in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Chicago Blackhawks tonight, priced at -160 to do it again.

0.5

Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 6 of 10 over 0.5

Why it can hit

Soft matchup for the position. Chicago Blackhawks allow 8.3 points per game to forwards — 7th most in the league, 29% above the 6.4 average.
Implied for a big night. The market has NYI at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
Priced in our favour. The model makes this 72% against a no-vig market price of 58% — a 14% edge at -160.

The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -195 to -160 since it opened — money is on the other side.

DAL @ BUF · 7:00 PM ET · -200

Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 Points

Mikko Rantanen has gone over 0.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Buffalo Sabres tonight, priced at -200 to do it again.

0.5

Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 7 of 10 over 0.5

Why it can hit

Soft matchup for the position. Buffalo Sabres allow 8.0 points per game to forwards — 9th most in the league, 25% above the 6.4 average.
Priced in our favour. The model makes this 70% against a no-vig market price of 63% — a 7% edge at -200.
Season pace clears the line. Rantanen averages 0.67 points per game against a 0.5 line.

The case against: they suppress shots. Only 19.3 shots against per game, one of the tightest marks in the league.