NHL · Friday, October 9, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Friday, October 9
There are 4 games on the NHL board this Friday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Justin Faulk Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Justin Faulk has recorded 2+ shots on goal 8 times. He's at home to SEA tonight, with the over at -135.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 72% against a no-vig market price of 54% — a 18% edge at -135.
- Season pace clears the line. Faulk averages 2.3 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
- Strong at home. 73% in his last 11 at home games.
Will Cuylle Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Will Cuylle has recorded 2+ shots on goal in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Washington Capitals tonight, priced at -146 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Washington Capitals allow 22.3 shots on goal per game to forwards — 6th most in the league, 12% above the 19.9 average.
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 5 was 2.0, still above 1.5.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 76% against a no-vig market price of 56% — a 20% edge at -146.
The case against: implied for a quiet night. The market has NYR at just 2.00 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
Dylan Larkin Over 0.5 Points
Dylan Larkin has recorded a point in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Seattle Kraken tonight, with the over at -175.
Why it can hit
- Implied for a big night. The market has DET at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 73% against a no-vig market price of 59% — a 14% edge at -175.
- Season pace clears the line. Larkin averages 2.0 points per game against a 0.5 line.
The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -210 to -175 since it opened — money is on the other side.
Mikael Granlund Over 0.5 Points
Mikael Granlund has recorded a point in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at WPG tonight, with the over at -135.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 78% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 25% edge at -135.
- Season pace clears the line. Granlund averages 1.0 points per game against a 0.5 line.
- Big minutes. 20:54 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -150 to -135 since it opened — money is on the other side.
Logan Thompson Over 21.5 Saves
Over his last 10 games, Logan Thompson has made 22+ saves 8 times. He's at home to the New York Rangers tonight, priced at -125 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 85% against a no-vig market price of 52% — a 33% edge at -125.
- Season pace clears the line. Thompson averages 29.0 saves per game against a 21.5 line.
- Strong at home. 83% in his last 23 at home games.
The case against: a low-volume opponent. New York Rangers manage only 20.0 shots on goal per game, 6th fewest in the league.