NHL · Saturday, October 10, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Saturday, October 10
There are 14 games on the NHL board this Saturday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Quinn Hughes Over 0.5 Assists
Quinn Hughes has recorded an assist in 9 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at FLA tonight, with the over at -130.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 90% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 37% edge at -130.
- Season pace clears the line. Hughes averages 1.0 assists per game against a 0.5 line.
- In on most of the offense. He has a point on 55% of his team's goals.
Lucas Raymond Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Lucas Raymond has recorded 2+ shots on goal 7 times. He's on the road at MTL tonight, priced at -180 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 70% against a no-vig market price of 60% — a 10% edge at -180.
- Season pace clears the line. Raymond averages 3.0 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
- Big minutes. 20:18 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
Sebastian Aho Over 0.5 Points
Sebastian Aho has recorded a point in 8 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Chicago Blackhawks tonight, priced at -200 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Chicago Blackhawks allow 7.8 points per game to forwards — 9th most in the league, 24% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has CAR at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 76% against a no-vig market price of 62% — a 14% edge at -200.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (134% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
Dylan Guenther Over 0.5 Points
Over his last 10 games, Dylan Guenther has recorded a point 7 times. He's on the road at the Buffalo Sabres tonight, with the over at -160.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Buffalo Sabres allow 8.5 points per game to forwards — 5th most in the league, 35% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has UTA at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 68% against a no-vig market price of 57% — a 11% edge at -160.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 0, 1, 0, 3, 2 (most recent first).
Tyson Foerster Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Tyson Foerster has recorded 2+ shots on goal 7 times. He's on the road at BOS today, with the over at -155.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 72% against a no-vig market price of 57% — a 15% edge at -155.
- Season pace clears the line. Foerster averages 2.6 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
- Median above the line. A 3.0 median across 5 games.
The case against: game has started. This line is stale — treat the analysis as a post-mortem, not a bet.