NHL · Monday, October 12, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Monday, October 12
There are 3 games on the NHL board this Monday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Drake Batherson Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Drake Batherson has recorded 2+ shots on goal 9 times. He's on the road at NJD tonight, with the over at -145.
Why it can hit
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 5 was 2.0, still above 1.5.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 88% against a no-vig market price of 55% — a 33% edge at -145.
- Season pace clears the line. Batherson averages 2.4 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
Timo Meier Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
Timo Meier has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to OTT tonight, with the over at -135.
Why it can hit
- He's the shooter. 14% of his team's shots (5.3 per game).
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 85% against a no-vig market price of 52% — a 33% edge at -135.
- Season pace clears the line. Meier averages 5.3 shots on goal per game against a 2.5 line.
Quinn Hughes Over 0.5 Points
Quinn Hughes has recorded a point in 9 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Vegas Golden Knights tonight, with the over at -180.
Why it can hit
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 5 was 1.0, still above 0.5.
- Implied for a big night. The market has MIN at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 90% against a no-vig market price of 60% — a 30% edge at -180.
The case against: they suppress shots. Only 23.8 shots against per game, one of the tightest marks in the league.
Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 Points
Matthew Tkachuk has gone over 0.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Buffalo Sabres today, with the over at -195.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Buffalo Sabres allow 8.6 points per game to forwards — 4th most in the league, 40% above the 6.1 average.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 72% against a no-vig market price of 62% — a 10% edge at -195.
- Season pace clears the line. Tkachuk averages 0.80 points per game against a 0.5 line.
The case against: implied for a quiet night. The market has FLA at just 2.00 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
Jack Eichel Over 0.5 Assists
Jack Eichel has recorded an assist in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Minnesota Wild tonight, priced at -125 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 73% against a no-vig market price of 52% — a 21% edge at -125.
- Season pace clears the line. Eichel averages 1.5 assists per game against a 0.5 line.
- In on most of the offense. He has a point on 55% of his team's goals.
The case against: tough matchup for the position. Minnesota Wild allow only 2.0 per game to forwards, 2nd stingiest in the league.