NHL · Wednesday, October 14, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Wednesday, October 14
There are 2 games on the NHL board this Wednesday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Boone Jenner Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Boone Jenner has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 9 of his last 10 games. He's at home to MTL tonight, priced at -130 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 6 was 2.0, still above 1.5.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 87% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 34% edge at -130.
- Season pace clears the line. Jenner averages 3.0 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
Tom Wilson Over 0.5 Points
Over his last 10 games, Tom Wilson has recorded a point 6 times. He's at home to the Montreal Canadiens tonight, priced at -140 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Montreal Canadiens allow 7.2 points per game to forwards — 10th most in the league, 13% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has WSH at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Season pace clears the line. Wilson averages 0.83 points per game against a 0.5 line.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 2 of his last 5 — 0, 0, 1, 3, 0 (most recent first).
Miro Heiskanen Over 0.5 Points
Miro Heiskanen has recorded a point in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at COL tonight, priced at -115 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 68% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 18% edge at -115.
- Season pace clears the line. Heiskanen averages 0.83 points per game against a 0.5 line.
- Big minutes. 24:30 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (75% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
T.J. Hughes Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
T.J. Hughes has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 4 of his last 6 games. He's at home to DAL tonight, with the over at -155.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 63% against a no-vig market price of 55% — a 8% edge at -155.
- Season pace clears the line. Hughes averages 2.5 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
- Median above the line. A 2.0 median across 6 games.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 1.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 1, 3, 6, 1, 2 (most recent first).
Scott Wedgewood Over 21.5 Saves
Scott Wedgewood has made 22+ saves in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to DAL tonight, with the over at -125.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 78% against a no-vig market price of 52% — a 26% edge at -125.
- Season pace clears the line. Wedgewood averages 26.0 saves per game against a 21.5 line.
- Strong at home. 65% in his last 20 at home games.
The case against: a tandem, not a starter. Only 0% of the team's starts — the line rides on whether he plays at all.