NHL · Thursday, October 15, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Thursday, October 15
Thursday's NHL slate has 11 games. These are the 5 player props our data likes most tonight: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Quinn Hughes Over 0.5 Points
Quinn Hughes has gone over 0.5 points in 10 of his last 10 games. He's at home to STL tonight, priced at -200 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 7 was 1.0, still above 0.5.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 98% against a no-vig market price of 63% — a 35% edge at -200.
- Season pace clears the line. Hughes averages 1.4 points per game against a 0.5 line.
Jack Roslovic Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Jack Roslovic has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 9 of his last 10 games. He's at home to BUF tonight, with the over at -170.
Why it can hit
- His floor clears the line. His worst game in 7 was 2.0, still above 1.5.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 89% against a no-vig market price of 59% — a 30% edge at -170.
- Season pace clears the line. Roslovic averages 2.9 shots on goal per game against a 1.5 line.
Roman Josi Over 0.5 Points
Roman Josi has gone over 0.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to SJS tonight, with the over at -145.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 79% against a no-vig market price of 55% — a 24% edge at -145.
- Season pace clears the line. Josi averages 1.0 points per game against a 0.5 line.
- Big minutes. 25:18 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
Thomas Chabot Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Thomas Chabot has recorded 2+ shots on goal 7 times. He's at home to the New York Islanders tonight, priced at -160 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. New York Islanders allow 7.5 shots on goal per game to defensemen — 9th most in the league, 7% above the 7.0 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has OTT at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 68% against a no-vig market price of 57% — a 11% edge at -160.
The case against: fading. 2.0 per game over his last three, down from a 2.6 season average.
Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 Assists
Evan Bouchard has recorded an assist in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to UTA tonight, priced at -160 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 78% against a no-vig market price of 58% — a 20% edge at -160.
- Season pace clears the line. Bouchard averages 1.3 assists per game against a 0.5 line.
- In on most of the offense. He has a point on 48% of his team's goals.
The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -180 to -160 since it opened — money is on the other side.