NHL · Friday, October 16, 2026

NHL Player Props Today: Friday, October 16

There are 2 games on the NHL board this Friday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 4 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.

Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.

PIT @ COL · 9:00 PM ET · -125

Ben Kindel Over 1.5 Shots on Goal

Over his last 10 games, Ben Kindel has recorded 2+ shots on goal 8 times. He's on the road at COL tonight, with the over at -125.

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5
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1.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 8 of 10 over 1.5

Why it can hit

  • His floor clears the line. His worst game in 6 was 2.0, still above 1.5.
  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 80% against a no-vig market price of 49% — a 31% edge at -125.
  • Season pace clears the line. At 2.7 per game, he clears 1.5 about 75% of the time.

BOS @ ANA · 10:00 PM ET · -115

Fraser Minten Over 1.5 Shots on Goal

Fraser Minten has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 6 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Anaheim Ducks tonight, with the over at -115.

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1.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 6 of 10 over 1.5

Why it can hit

  • Implied for a big night. The market has BOS at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 61% against a no-vig market price of 49% — a 12% edge at -115.
  • Season pace clears the line. At 2.7 per game, he clears 1.5 about 75% of the time.

The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -145 to -115 since it opened — money is on the other side.

BOS @ ANA · 10:00 PM ET · -145

Beckett Sennecke Over 0.5 Points

Over his last 10 games, Beckett Sennecke has recorded a point 8 times. He's at home to BOS tonight, with the over at -145.

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0
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0.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 8 of 10 over 0.5

Why it can hit

  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 75% against a no-vig market price of 56% — a 19% edge at -145.
  • Season pace clears the line. At 1.2 per game, he clears 0.5 about 69% of the time.
  • Big minutes. 20:54 of ice time per game — the volume is there.

The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (75% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.

PIT @ COL · 9:00 PM ET · -115

Erik Karlsson Over 0.5 Points

Erik Karlsson has gone over 0.5 points in 6 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at COL tonight, priced at -115 to do it again.

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0.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 6 of 10 over 0.5

Why it can hit

  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 61% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 11% edge at -115.
  • Season pace clears the line. At 1.0 per game, he clears 0.5 about 63% of the time.
  • Big minutes. 23:00 of ice time per game — the volume is there.

The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 2, 0, 1, 0, 1 (most recent first).

21+. Prices were posted when this was written and may have moved. Hit rates describe the past and guarantee nothing. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net.

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