NHL · Sunday, October 18, 2026

NHL Player Props Today: Sunday, October 18

There are 2 games on the NHL board this Sunday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.

Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.

CBJ @ MIN · 6:00 PM ET · -148

Kent Johnson Over 1.5 Shots on Goal

Over his last 10 games, Kent Johnson has recorded 2+ shots on goal 7 times. He's on the road at MIN tonight, priced at -148 to do it again.

2
1
2
1
1
5
2
3
3
4
1.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 7 of 10 over 1.5

Why it can hit

  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 70% against a no-vig market price of 56% — a 14% edge at -148.
  • Season pace clears the line. At 3.0 per game, he clears 1.5 about 80% of the time.
  • Trending up. 100% over the last 5 against 70% over the last 10.

CAR @ CGY · 8:00 PM ET · -118

Andrei Svechnikov Over 2.5 Shots on Goal

Over his last 10 games, Andrei Svechnikov has recorded 3+ shots on goal 6 times. He's on the road at the Calgary Flames tonight, with the over at -118.

3
2
6
4
3
4
2
1
5
2
2.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 6 of 10 over 2.5

Why it can hit

  • Soft matchup for the position. Calgary Flames allow 21.9 shots on goal per game to forwards — 6th most in the league, 11% above the 19.7 average.
  • Implied for a big night. The market has CAR at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 58% against a no-vig market price of 51% — a 7% edge at -118.

The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 2.5 in 2 of his last 5 — 2, 5, 1, 2, 4 (most recent first).

CAR @ CGY · 8:00 PM ET · -135

Jackson Blake Over 0.5 Points

Jackson Blake has gone over 0.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at CGY tonight, priced at -135 to do it again.

2
0
1
1
1
2
2
0
1
0
0.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 7 of 10 over 0.5

Why it can hit

  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 67% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 14% edge at -135.
  • Season pace clears the line. At 0.89 per game, he clears 0.5 about 59% of the time.
  • Strong on the road. 67% in his last 21 on the road games.

The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 0, 1, 0, 2, 2 (most recent first).

CBJ @ MIN · 6:00 PM ET · -115

Jesper Wallstedt Over 23.5 Saves

Over his last 10 games, Jesper Wallstedt has made 24+ saves 7 times. He's at home to CBJ tonight, priced at -115 to do it again.

35
29
30
19
26
25
32
29
21
20
23.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 7 of 10 over 23.5

Why it can hit

  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 66% against a no-vig market price of 50% — a 16% edge at -115.
  • The clear starter. He has started 88% of his team's games this season.
  • Strong at home. 71% in his last 17 at home games.

The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 23.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 20, 21, 29, 32, 25 (most recent first).

CAR @ CGY · 8:00 PM ET · -105

Matt Coronato Over 0.5 Points

Matt Coronato has gone over 0.5 points in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Carolina Hurricanes tonight, priced at -105 to do it again.

1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0.5
Last 10 games, oldest to newest · 6 of 10 over 0.5

Why it can hit

  • Priced in our favour. The model makes this 57% against a no-vig market price of 48% — a 9% edge at -105.
  • Tired opponent. Carolina Hurricanes played last night. Second-night sides give up more shots, and they usually start their backup.
  • Trending up. 1.0 per game over his last three against a 0.6 season average.

The case against: tough matchup for the position. Carolina Hurricanes allow only 5.0 per game to forwards, 8th stingiest in the league.

21+. Prices were posted when this was written and may have moved. Hit rates describe the past and guarantee nothing. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net.

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