NHL · Thursday, October 22, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Thursday, October 22
Thursday's NHL slate has 12 games. These are the 5 player props our data likes most tonight: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Moritz Seider Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Moritz Seider has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 9 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Vancouver Canucks tonight, with the over at -175.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Vancouver Canucks allow 8.4 shots on goal per game to defensemen — 6th most in the league, 15% above the 7.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has DET at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 87% against a no-vig market price of 60% — a 27% edge at -175.
Quinn Hughes Over 0.5 Assists
Quinn Hughes has recorded an assist in 9 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at CGY tonight, priced at -180 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 89% against a no-vig market price of 60% — a 29% edge at -180.
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.1 per game, he clears 0.5 about 67% of the time.
- In on most of the offense. He has a point on 42% of his team's goals.
Adam Fox Over 0.5 Points
Over his last 10 games, Adam Fox has recorded a point 8 times. He's on the road at the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight, with the over at -140.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Toronto Maple Leafs allow 2.2 points per game to defensemen — 10th most in the league, 11% above the 2.0 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has NYR at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 77% against a no-vig market price of 54% — a 23% edge at -140.
The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -170 to -140 since it opened — money is on the other side.
Nick Schmaltz Over 0.5 Points
Nick Schmaltz has recorded a point in 8 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Seattle Kraken tonight, with the over at -175.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Seattle Kraken allow 7.0 points per game to forwards — 10th most in the league, 11% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has UTA at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 76% against a no-vig market price of 59% — a 17% edge at -175.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (95% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 Assists
Evan Bouchard has gone over 0.5 assists in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to CAR tonight, priced at -150 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 82% against a no-vig market price of 56% — a 26% edge at -150.
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.2 per game, he clears 0.5 about 71% of the time.
- In on most of the offense. He has a point on 44% of his team's goals.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (67% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.