NHL · Friday, October 23, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Friday, October 23
There are 2 games on the NHL board this Friday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 4 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Lane Hutson Over 0.5 Points
Lane Hutson has recorded a point in 6 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Chicago Blackhawks tonight, priced at -195 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Chicago Blackhawks allow 3.3 points per game to defensemen — 1st most in the league, 66% above the 2.0 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has MTL at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.0 per game, he clears 0.5 about 63% of the time.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 1, 0, 2, 2, 0 (most recent first).
Connor Bedard Over 0.5 Points
Connor Bedard has recorded a point in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Montreal Canadiens tonight, with the over at -200.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Montreal Canadiens allow 7.4 points per game to forwards — 7th most in the league, 18% above the 6.3 average.
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.0 per game, he clears 0.5 about 63% of the time.
- Big minutes. 20:18 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
The case against: implied for a quiet night. The market has CHI at just 2.50 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Nathan MacKinnon has recorded 4+ shots on goal 6 times. He's at home to TBL tonight, with the over at -120.
Why it can hit
- He's the shooter. 14% of his team's shots (4.4 per game).
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 60% against a no-vig market price of 51% — a 9% edge at -120.
- Season pace clears the line. MacKinnon averages 4.4 shots on goal per game against a 3.5 line.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 3.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 5, 1, 9, 4, 2 (most recent first).
Cale Makar Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
Cale Makar has recorded 3+ shots on goal in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to TBL tonight, with the over at +106.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 60% against a no-vig market price of 46% — a 14% edge at +106.
- Big minutes. 22:06 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
- Median above the line. A 3.0 median across 9 games.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 2.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 3, 4, 2, 2, 3 (most recent first).