NHL · Sunday, October 25, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Sunday, October 25
There are 5 games on the NHL board this Sunday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 4 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
T.J. Hughes Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, T.J. Hughes has recorded 2+ shots on goal 7 times. He's on the road at the Nashville Predators tonight, with the over at -145.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Nashville Predators allow 22.0 shots on goal per game to forwards — 6th most in the league, 11% above the 19.9 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has COL at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 71% against a no-vig market price of 54% — a 17% edge at -145.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (81% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
Joel Eriksson Ek Over 0.5 Points
Joel Eriksson Ek has gone over 0.5 points in 6 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Vancouver Canucks tonight, priced at -155 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Vancouver Canucks allow 9.3 points per game to forwards — 1st most in the league, 47% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has MIN at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Big minutes. 20:18 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (75% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
Tyler Seguin Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Tyler Seguin has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the New York Islanders tonight, priced at -145 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Implied for a big night. The market has DAL at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 73% against a no-vig market price of 55% — a 18% edge at -145.
- Season pace clears the line. At 2.8 per game, he clears 1.5 about 77% of the time.
The case against: fading. 2.3 per game over his last three, down from a 2.8 season average.
Matthew Schaefer Over 0.5 Points
Matthew Schaefer has gone over 0.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at DAL tonight, priced at -135 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 68% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 15% edge at -135.
- Season pace clears the line. At 0.90 per game, he clears 0.5 about 59% of the time.
- Big minutes. 26:12 of ice time per game — the volume is there.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (74% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.