NHL · Monday, October 26, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Monday, October 26
Monday's NHL slate has 3 games. These are the 5 player props our data likes most tonight: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Easton Cowan Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Easton Cowan has recorded 2+ shots on goal in 9 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Calgary Flames tonight, with the over at -110.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Calgary Flames allow 22.3 shots on goal per game to forwards — 5th most in the league, 12% above the 19.9 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has TOR at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 80% against a no-vig market price of 49% — a 31% edge at -110.
The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -175 to -110 since it opened — money is on the other side.
Alexis Lafrenière Over 0.5 Points
Over his last 10 games, Alexis Lafrenière has recorded a point 9 times. He's at home to the Los Angeles Kings tonight, with the over at -140.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Los Angeles Kings allow 7.6 points per game to forwards — 4th most in the league, 20% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has NYR at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 78% against a no-vig market price of 54% — a 24% edge at -140.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (114% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
Connor McDavid Over 0.5 Power Play Points
Over his last 10 games, Connor McDavid has recorded a power-play point 7 times. He's at home to the Detroit Red Wings tonight, with the over at -135.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Detroit Red Wings allow 2.5 power play points per game to forwards — 5th most in the league, 51% above the 1.6 average.
- A weak penalty kill. Detroit Red Wings kill only 66% — 3rd worst of 32.
- Implied for a big night. The market has EDM at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
The case against: boom-or-bust profile. His game-to-game spread is wide (114% of his median), so the hit rate is a much shakier guide than it looks.
William Nylander Over 0.5 Points
William Nylander has recorded a point in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Calgary Flames tonight, priced at -200 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Calgary Flames allow 7.6 points per game to forwards — 3rd most in the league, 20% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has TOR at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 70% against a no-vig market price of 63% — a 7% edge at -200.
The case against: this defense has tightened up. 5.2 per game over their last five, down from 7.6 on the season.
Will Cuylle Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Will Cuylle has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 6 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Los Angeles Kings tonight, with the over at -150.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Los Angeles Kings allow 21.0 shots on goal per game to forwards — 8th most in the league, 6% above the 19.9 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has NYR at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 63% against a no-vig market price of 55% — a 8% edge at -150.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 1.5 in 2 of his last 5 — 1, 1, 3, 2, 0 (most recent first).