NHL · Wednesday, October 28, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Wednesday, October 28
Wednesday's NHL slate has 4 games. These are the 5 player props our data likes most tonight: each has cleared its line in most of the player's recent games, and each has something in the matchup or the role behind it, not just a streak.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Morgan Frost Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Morgan Frost has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at EDM tonight, priced at -110 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 70% against a no-vig market price of 49% — a 21% edge at -110.
- Season pace clears the line. At 2.1 per game, he clears 1.5 about 62% of the time.
- Market moving to the over. The over has moved from +100 to -110 since it opened.
Ryan Leonard Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Ryan Leonard has recorded 2+ shots on goal in 9 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Philadelphia Flyers tonight, priced at -156 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Philadelphia Flyers allow 21.9 shots on goal per game to forwards — 6th most in the league, 10% above the 19.9 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has WSH at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 91% against a no-vig market price of 57% — a 34% edge at -156.
The case against: this defense has tightened up. 17.8 per game over their last five, down from 21.9 on the season.
Vasily Podkolzin Over 0.5 Points
Vasily Podkolzin has gone over 0.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the Calgary Flames tonight, with the over at -130.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Calgary Flames allow 7.3 points per game to forwards — 3rd most in the league, 16% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has EDM at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 71% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 18% edge at -130.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 1, 0, 0, 1, 2 (most recent first).
Brett Kulak Over 1.5 Blocked Shots
Brett Kulak has gone over 1.5 blocked shots in 7 of his last 10 games. He's at home to the New Jersey Devils tonight, priced at -140 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. New Jersey Devils allow 11.0 blocked shots per game to defensemen — 1st most in the league, 33% above the 8.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has COL at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 66% against a no-vig market price of 53% — a 13% edge at -140.
The case against: this defense has tightened up. 8.8 per game over their last five, down from 11.0 on the season.
Jack Hughes Over 0.5 Points
Jack Hughes has recorded a point in 8 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Colorado Avalanche tonight, priced at -175 to do it again.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 77% against a no-vig market price of 60% — a 17% edge at -175.
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.2 per game, he clears 0.5 about 69% of the time.
- A beatable goalie. Mackenzie Blackwood is the likely starter at a .891 save percentage over 8 starts.
The case against: implied for a quiet night. The market has NJD at just 2.50 goals in a 6.5-goal game.