NHL · Thursday, October 29, 2026
NHL Player Props Today: Thursday, October 29
There are 11 games on the NHL board this Thursday. We ran every posted player prop through the same analysis as the PropsIQ app and kept the 5 with the strongest case — a recent record against the line and a reason it should hold tonight.
Built with the PropsIQ app — the same data and analysis, for every prop on the board.
Quinn Hughes Over 0.5 Assists
Quinn Hughes has recorded an assist in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to NYI tonight, with the over at -155.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 83% against a no-vig market price of 57% — a 26% edge at -155.
- Season pace clears the line. At 1.1 per game, he clears 0.5 about 66% of the time.
- In on most of the offense. He has a point on 41% of his team's goals.
Seth Jarvis Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Seth Jarvis has gone over 1.5 shots on goal in 8 of his last 10 games. He's at home to CBJ tonight, with the over at -160.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 76% against a no-vig market price of 58% — a 18% edge at -160.
- Season pace clears the line. At 2.0 per game, he clears 1.5 about 59% of the time.
- Strong at home. 89% in his last 19 at home games.
Nikolaj Ehlers Over 0.5 Points
Over his last 10 games, Nikolaj Ehlers has recorded a point 7 times. He's at home to the Columbus Blue Jackets tonight, with the over at -175.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Columbus Blue Jackets allow 6.9 points per game to forwards — 9th most in the league, 10% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has CAR at 3.50 goals in a 5.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 67% against a no-vig market price of 59% — a 8% edge at -175.
The case against: this defense has tightened up. 5.2 per game over their last five, down from 6.9 on the season.
Logan Cooley Over 0.5 Points
Logan Cooley has recorded a point in 7 of his last 10 games. He's on the road at the Pittsburgh Penguins tonight, with the over at -160.
Why it can hit
- Soft matchup for the position. Pittsburgh Penguins allow 6.8 points per game to forwards — 10th most in the league, 8% above the 6.3 average.
- Implied for a big night. The market has UTA at 4.00 goals in a 6.5-goal game.
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 68% against a no-vig market price of 58% — a 10% edge at -160.
The case against: coin-flip recent sample. Cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 5 — 1, 0, 2, 1, 0 (most recent first).
Ryan Leonard Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Over his last 10 games, Ryan Leonard has recorded 2+ shots on goal 9 times. He's on the road at NSH tonight, with the over at -150.
Why it can hit
- Priced in our favour. The model makes this 92% against a no-vig market price of 56% — a 36% edge at -150.
- Season pace clears the line. At 2.5 per game, he clears 1.5 about 72% of the time.
- Trending up. 3.0 per game over his last three against a 2.5 season average.
The case against: market moving to the under. The over has drifted from -170 to -150 since it opened — money is on the other side.