Aaron Nola prop hit rates
Philadelphia Phillies · P · 44 games played
| Line | Last 10 | Last 20 | Last 40 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts over 4.5 | 80%8/10 | 70%14/20 | 73%29/40 |
| Strikeouts over 5.5 | 70%7/10 | 45%9/20 | 48%19/40 |
| Strikeouts over 6.5 | 60%6/10 | 35%7/20 | 30%12/40 |
| Outs recorded over 15.5 | 70%7/10 | 40%8/20 | 50%20/40 |
| Outs recorded over 17.5 | 50%5/10 | 30%6/20 | 43%17/40 |
| Earned runs over 2.5 | 40%4/10 | 50%10/20 | 57%23/40 |
| Hits allowed over 4.5 | 80%8/10 | 75%15/20 | 75%30/40 |
| Hits allowed over 5.5 | 50%5/10 | 60%12/20 | 55%22/40 |
Recent games
| Date | Opp | Outs | K | H | ER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | @ SEA | 18 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-08-19 | vs MIA | 21 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | @ MIN | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | vs TOR | 15 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | vs WSH | 18 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | @ MIA | 17 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026-07-22 | vs LAD | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| 2026-07-16 | vs NYM | 18 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 2026-07-10 | @ DET | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-07-05 | @ KC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
This is the raw record, not the read. PropsIQ adds a 0–100 Confidence Score, live odds across books, opponent matchup analytics and bet tracking with CLV. Get it for iOS or create an account to use it on the web.
Hit rates are computed from official game logs. A game with no recorded value is excluded from the denominator rather than counted as a miss. Informational only — PropsIQ does not accept wagers.