Merrill Kelly prop hit rates

Arizona Diamondbacks · P · 61 games played

Share of games cleared, over the player's most recent games. The denominator counts games actually played, not the size of the window.
Line	Last 10	Last 20	Last 40
Strikeouts over 4.5	30%3/10	30%6/20	35%14/40
Strikeouts over 5.5	20%2/10	25%5/20	25%10/40
Strikeouts over 6.5	20%2/10	10%2/20	10%4/40
Outs recorded over 15.5	50%5/10	55%11/20	63%25/40
Outs recorded over 17.5	20%2/10	30%6/20	40%16/40
Earned runs over 2.5	60%6/10	50%10/20	48%19/40
Hits allowed over 4.5	60%6/10	60%12/20	65%26/40
Hits allowed over 5.5	50%5/10	50%10/20	53%21/40

Recent games

Date	Opp	Outs	K	H	ER
2026-09-23	@ COL	16	2	4	2
2026-09-16	vs MIA	14	9	7	3
2026-09-11	vs TEX	13	3	2	1
2026-09-04	@ HOU	18	4	7	3
2026-08-29	@ SF	21	7	2	0
2026-08-24	vs CHC	17	4	5	3
2026-08-18	@ BOS	12	2	7	6
2026-08-12	vs COL	15	2	6	6
2026-08-07	vs LAD	17	4	2	1
2026-08-02	@ CLE	15	5	8	5

This is the raw record, not the read. PropsIQ adds a 0–100 Confidence Score, live odds across books, opponent matchup analytics and bet tracking with CLV. Get it for iOS or create an account to use it on the web.

Hit rates are computed from official game logs. A game with no recorded value is excluded from the denominator rather than counted as a miss. Informational only — PropsIQ does not accept wagers.