Payton Tolle prop hit rates

Boston Red Sox · P · 32 games played

Share of games cleared, over the player's most recent games. The denominator counts games actually played, not the size of the window.
Line	Last 10	Last 20	Last 40
Strikeouts over 4.5	80%8/10	80%16/20	66%21/32
Strikeouts over 5.5	70%7/10	65%13/20	56%18/32
Strikeouts over 6.5	50%5/10	45%9/20	44%14/32
Outs recorded over 15.5	80%8/10	75%15/20	63%20/32
Outs recorded over 17.5	50%5/10	50%10/20	44%14/32
Earned runs over 2.5	20%2/10	35%7/20	31%10/32
Hits allowed over 4.5	50%5/10	55%11/20	44%14/32
Hits allowed over 5.5	40%4/10	45%9/20	31%10/32

Recent games

Date	Opp	Outs	K	H	ER
2026-09-29	@ NYY	14	4	5	1
2026-09-22	vs CLE	17	5	8	2
2026-09-13	vs KC	18	7	4	0
2026-09-06	@ BAL	18	12	4	1
2026-08-31	vs SEA	17	6	6	4
2026-08-25	@ MIA	16	7	4	2
2026-08-19	vs ARI	15	6	6	3
2026-08-13	@ TOR	24	4	2	0
2026-08-07	vs ATH	18	14	2	1
2026-08-01	@ LAD	18	7	9	2

This is the raw record, not the read. PropsIQ adds a 0–100 Confidence Score, live odds across books, opponent matchup analytics and bet tracking with CLV. Get it for iOS or create an account to use it on the web.

Hit rates are computed from official game logs. A game with no recorded value is excluded from the denominator rather than counted as a miss. Informational only — PropsIQ does not accept wagers.